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Mining & Metals Capital

Broker bullish on Capital amid Reko Diq and macro tailwinds converge

Analyst Joe Brent says Capital's cheap valuation, a resilient Reko Diq contract and a supportive gold-copper macro backdrop underpin the Buy case, with the stock's investment portfolio adding a further layer of value.

by tickstock newsroom
A miner stands observing a drilling rig during sunset in a remote area. The landscape is characterized by red earth and distant hills, highlighting a mining operation. aiImage created using AI — Chatgpt

Capital (LSE:CAPD), the London-listed mining services group, is trading at a valuation Panmure Liberum's Joe Brent calls "materially cheaper than peers".

The broker repeated a Buy rating, and a 236p price target, following first-half results that delivered record revenue of $219m, up 37.6%, and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $54.7m, 6.3% ahead of the broker's estimate.

Brent flags three points behind the call: Barrick's Reko Diq contract continues to perform well, with Capital's ongoing support seen as evidence of the relationship's durability despite Barrick's wider development slowdown elsewhere.

The analyst also pointed to a supportive macro backdrop, noting the return of the "stagflation" trade favouring copper and gold, alongside elevated capital raising activity and customers generating record cash levels.

A third pillar is Capital's investment portfolio, valued at $117m as of 30 June, which the broker says has compounded at a 59.9% annual rate since 2019.

Despite the revenue beat, Panmure Liberum has left its pre-tax profit estimates unchanged, citing additional mobilisation costs expected in the second half.

by tickstock newsroom