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Media & Entertainment Reach

Reach plummets as Mirror and Express publisher reveals AI search punched a 40% hole in traffic

The UK and Ireland's largest commercial news publisher said it remains on track to meet market expectations for the year, even as first-half revenue fell and it halved its interim dividend.

by tickstock newsroom · Editor JMA
A hand emerging from a torn newspaper, displaying three golden knuckle rings. The newspaper features the headline 'Mirror' and various articles, highlighting a mix of news content. bImage courtesy of Reach.

Reach (LSE:RCH) shares plummeted on Wednesday, losing 24.5% to 44.55p, after revealing the extent to which Google's AI search is impacting media businesses, with traffic falling 40%.

The Mirror, Express and Daily Star publisher reported revenue of £232.9m for the six months to 30 June, down from £256m a year earlier, as print and digital sales both declined.

Print revenue fell 8.3% to £178m, with circulation volumes down 22%.

Digital revenue dropped to £54.2m as lower referral traffic from Google cut on-platform page views by 40%. Adjusted operating profit fell £1.8m to £43m, but the margin improved to 18.5% after a 10.3% cut in adjusted operating costs, ahead of the company's 5-6% target.

The statutory result swung to an operating loss of £43.5m, driven by a £36.1m non-cash impairment from the closure of two print sites, £21.7m of amortisation and £18.9m of restructuring costs.

Net debt stood at £47.5m, up from £26m a year earlier, with adjusted operating cash flow of £48.8m and cash conversion of 113%.

The board rebased the interim dividend to 1.44p per share, down from 2.88p, saying it wants more flexibility to fund organic investment.

"We are on track to deliver on market expectations for the year and remain confident in our ability to navigate uncertainty", said chief executive Piers North, adding the group would maintain financial discipline until pension deficit payments end in 2028.

Reach said full-year adjusted cost savings should broadly match the first half's pace, and it expects operating margins to hold at similar levels into 2027, though industry headwinds, including higher circulation declines, are expected to persist.

News Intelligence what this means for the company

Reach reported H1 revenue of £232.9m, down 9% year-on-year, with print circulation volumes falling 22% and Google referral traffic cuts reducing digital page views by 40%. Despite the top-line decline, the company maintained FY26 guidance and cut its interim dividend in half to 1.44p per share, prioritising financial flexibility and organic investment over shareholder returns.

Investment case

Reach is executing a cost-reduction programme (10.3% cut in H1, ahead of its 5–6% target) that is protecting margins at 18.5% adjusted operating profit despite structural headwinds in print circulation and digital referral traffic. The dividend halving and guidance hold suggest management confidence in stabilising the business, but the company faces persistent industry headwinds and expects higher circulation declines to persist; the investment case hinges on whether cost discipline can offset ongoing revenue erosion.

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Content is for informational purposes only, not financial advice.

Broker sticks with a Buy rating, but cuts target

Panmure Liberum analyst Sean Kealy claims Reach's interims show the group's strategy is working.

The broker, in a note, said the publisher's high-value proprietary content and strong advertising yields are helping offset market-wide volume declines.

Sticking to a 'Buy' rating, whilst cutting the broker's price target to 125p, from 139p, the analyst cited 'stabilised page views' through the second quarter, and pointed to a 6% rise in direct digital revenue driven by proprietary video.

Nevertheless, the analyst also lowered his full-year earnings (EBIT) forecast by 11%, and noted the board's rebased full-year dividend of 3.7p, whilst arguing Reach's valuation looks "dislocated" at about 3.4x FY27 EV/EBIT versus his 6x benchmark.

by tickstock newsroom